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Red51
241514.2
634113.7
164818.1
Blue38
418816.8
100216.7
590016.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445920801005138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#23
18.10.6
15.916.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
red by 1.3
4188
#38
16.81.2
18.317.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
2415
#19
14.20.6
13.213.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
blue by 2.4
5900
#25
16.71.2
16.815.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End5.5
Third
6341
#21
13.70.6
12.913.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 2.9
1002
#37
16.71.2
20.819.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed