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Red57
749912.8
174626.2
446815.5
Blue69
83223.8
682920.2
358119.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56662040801005769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#12
26.20.3
26.026.2
Auto2.8
Teleop19.4
End4.1
red by 2.4
832
#5
23.80.4
23.523.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End8.5
Second
4468
#33
15.50.3
15.515.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 4.6
6829
#28
20.20.4
20.120.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Third
7499
#39
12.80.3
11.712.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
blue by 6.6
3581
#17
19.50.4
19.019.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsEarned