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Red34
692513.1
613911.5
507410.5
Blue33
590013.5
563217.2
179511.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3139102050603433

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#21
13.10.3
12.813.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.1
blue by 4.0
5632
#32
17.20.2
16.216.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Second
6139
#16
11.50.3
7.47.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
blue by 1.9
5900
#29
13.50.2
11.811.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.6
Third
5074
#15
10.50.3
8.89.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 1.1
1795
#17
11.60.2
8.68.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed