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Red54
494121.7
747010.2
788314.7
Blue21
548210.8
473014.5
691012.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4730102040506070805421

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
22.022.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
red by 7.1
4730
#30
14.50.5
11.210.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
14.70.6
11.812.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 2.4
6910
#11
12.40.5
6.86.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
7470
#22
10.20.6
10.511.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.5
blue by 0.7
5482
#34
10.80.8
10.69.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed