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Red16
745110.0
177123.5
61397.2
Blue23
131115.0
334411.1
358116.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35372025304045501623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.9
12.810.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End7.9
red by 7.2
16.30.8
9.89.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Second
7451
#32
10.013.3
21.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.0
blue by 4.9
1311
#11
15.01.3
14.112.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Third
6139
#31
7.21.9
10.38.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.9
blue by 3.9
3344
#23
11.11.3
10.89.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed