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Red38
533213.4
402621.8
67129.2
Blue25
381512.3
56085.3
451612.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363210203040503825

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
14.615.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End9.8
red by 9.4
4516
#35
12.50.6
12.912.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Second
5332
#22
13.40.4
13.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.0
red by 1.1
3815
#19
12.30.6
12.011.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Third
6712
#15
9.20.2
6.66.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End2.8
red by 3.9
5608
#34
5.30.4
5.75.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed