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Red58
297423.4
590014.5
381512.3
Blue50
529313.1
358116.3
332917.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50453035405560655850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.1
21.422.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 6.1
3329
#26
17.30.4
16.416.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End5.5
Second
5900
#10
14.51.1
13.414.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End5.7
blue by 1.7
16.30.3
12.612.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Third
3815
#19
12.31.1
12.613.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 0.8
5293
#14
13.10.4
14.014.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsEarned