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Red45
688710.3
788311.4
179511.3
Blue42
177123.5
30917.1
451612.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363628303234384042444542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7883
#27
11.41.2
13.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 12.1
23.50.8
17.418.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Second
1795
#21
11.31.2
10.411.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.9
blue by 1.2
4516
#35
12.50.8
10.411.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Third
6887
#28
10.30.8
9.510.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 3.2
3091
#36
7.10.8
6.27.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed