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Red49
529315.6
177126.8
446815.5
Blue46
682920.5
767612.3
411218.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564930406070804946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.3
23.423.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End8.4
red by 6.4
6829
#10
20.50.0
20.720.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Second
5293
#17
15.60.3
13.913.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 2.6
4112
#11
18.20.0
15.215.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
15.50.3
16.115.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.7
red by 3.2
7676
#23
12.30.0
10.510.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed