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Red45
744921.1
548215.3
707610.3
Blue31
474917.3
408014.3
69448.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46371020304050604531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.1
19.219.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
red by 3.8
4749
#14
17.30.5
16.816.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Second
5482
#13
15.30.1
12.913.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
red by 1.0
4080
#18
14.30.5
11.010.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Third
7076
#16
10.30.1
11.111.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 1.7
6944
#30
8.60.5
7.26.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed