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Red45
241513.8
408014.3
174620.2
Blue60
411218.2
751416.8
548215.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39420102030506070804560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.6
16.316.8
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 2.0
4112
#11
18.21.3
15.316.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Second
4080
#18
14.30.6
11.211.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End3.8
blue by 2.5
16.81.3
11.512.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End5.3
Third
2415
#21
13.80.6
9.19.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 1.5
5482
#13
15.31.3
13.114.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed