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Red49
510925.4
707610.3
513213.2
Blue41
744921.1
474917.3
69055.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043102030406070804941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.1
23.623.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 4.2
21.10.0
20.720.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
Second
5132
#24
13.20.1
12.812.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 4.1
4749
#14
17.30.0
16.416.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Third
7076
#16
10.30.1
11.011.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 5.0
6905
#28
5.20.0
4.14.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed