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Red31
174620.2
69448.6
692511.5
Blue42
445917.6
513213.2
241513.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38450102030506070803142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.3
17.016.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 2.6
4459
#15
17.60.0
17.817.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Second
6925
#25
11.50.3
11.511.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 2.3
2415
#21
13.80.0
11.711.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Third
6944
#30
8.60.3
7.16.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 4.7
5132
#24
13.20.0
13.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed