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Red60
126118.7
474917.3
548215.3
Blue40
632510.2
767612.3
744921.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5347203040607080906040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.0
18.918.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End4.6
blue by 2.4
21.10.3
21.020.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End3.9
Second
4749
#14
17.30.0
17.217.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
red by 5.0
7676
#23
12.30.3
13.212.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Third
5482
#13
15.30.0
14.514.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.9
red by 5.1
6325
#29
10.20.3
10.510.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed