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Red64
565114.1
470116.0
479516.4
Blue57
634018.4
164815.8
418821.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455203040506070806457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#10
16.41.8
14.416.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.5
blue by 4.8
4188
#18
21.20.2
18.118.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Second
16.01.8
14.316.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.8
blue by 2.4
18.40.2
18.418.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.4
End3.7
Third
5651
#20
14.11.7
12.814.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 1.7
1648
#17
15.80.2
15.515.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsEarned