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Red29
67507.8
16618.0
670513.5
Blue44
69051.7
174722.6
424011.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4435102030405060702944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
18.00.9
18.617.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
blue by 4.6
1747
#16
22.60.1
20.420.5
Auto3.0
Teleop16.0
End3.6
Second
6705
#26
13.50.9
14.313.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.1
red by 2.4
4240
#25
11.00.1
10.911.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Third
6750
#36
7.80.9
8.77.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End1.3
red by 6.1
6905
#38
1.70.1
1.61.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.4
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed