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Red39
411213.5
174622.6
69050.8
Blue59
745114.0
334411.1
126120.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050304060703959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.5
26.225.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.1
End3.7
red by 1.9
20.70.7
18.919.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Second
4112
#13
13.50.5
15.815.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 0.5
7451
#16
14.00.7
18.018.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End4.2
Third
6905
#31
0.80.5
4.64.1
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.7
End0.9
blue by 10.4
3344
#19
11.10.7
11.312.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed