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Red43
590015.1
100212.2
451611.9
Blue33
742712.9
75384.0
418814.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400102030506070804333

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.0
17.217.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End5.4
red by 0.4
14.80.5
15.515.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Second
1002
#18
12.20.0
13.413.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 0.8
7427
#22
12.90.5
16.415.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
4516
#12
11.90.0
12.312.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 7.9
7538
#28
4.00.5
5.75.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed