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Red78
740915.8
198630.6
325015.5
Blue61
617712.9
724614.2
49822.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7048204060801007861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.8
32.731.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End9.9
red by 8.2
498
#43
22.40.6
22.022.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Second
7409
#44
15.80.8
16.415.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End3.4
red by 1.6
7246
#64
14.20.6
11.211.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.1
Third
3250
#31
15.50.8
17.616.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End5.4
red by 2.5
6177
#65
12.90.6
12.413.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned6%HAB Docking oddsMissed