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Red71
744614.3
39921.2
547222.9
Blue75
115619.1
255123.2
598527.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60742040801007175

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#57
22.90.9
22.022.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 4.4
5985
#20
27.30.3
27.627.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End6.6
Second
399
#49
21.20.9
20.721.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.0
End2.7
blue by 2.0
2551
#53
23.20.3
25.926.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Third
7446
#59
14.31.0
14.515.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 4.8
1156
#39
19.10.3
16.817.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsEarned