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Red44
377023.8
516619.4
522914.8
Blue55
550917.9
542419.1
522419.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6665304050607080901004455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.3
22.821.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 4.3
19.50.4
21.421.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End7.3
Second
5166
#20
19.41.3
22.921.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End5.3
red by 0.3
19.10.4
20.520.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Third
5229
#16
14.81.3
17.115.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 3.1
5509
#17
17.90.4
19.218.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned