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Red48
504622.1
560315.8
99868.5
Blue59
998710.9
686120.8
525711.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060801001201404859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#13
22.10.2
22.022.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.2
End5.5
red by 1.3
6861
#15
20.81.1
21.022.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Second
5603
#19
15.80.2
14.414.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.0
red by 4.1
5257
#18
11.71.1
11.712.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Third
9986
#23
8.50.3
7.98.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8
blue by 2.4
10.91.1
7.48.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed