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Red60
244324.8
699814.6
772421.1
Blue40
670411.0
387812.5
209011.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47360102030406070806040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.2
19.120.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.8
red by 12.2
3878
#21
12.50.5
10.710.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Second
21.11.7
11.112.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 9.5
2090
#27
11.60.5
12.411.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
6998
#24
14.61.7
14.215.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End3.9
red by 3.6
6704
#29
11.00.5
11.310.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed