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Red68
35934.4
25046.6
763111.3
Blue44
690915.7
246514.2
243818.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514210203060706844

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
34.40.9
31.732.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End11.0
red by 16.3
18.10.3
15.415.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End5.3
Second
7631
#22
11.31.5
7.08.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.6
blue by 4.5
6909
#11
15.70.4
13.413.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End5.2
Third
2504
#23
6.61.5
9.611.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 7.7
2465
#20
14.20.4
11.411.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsEarned