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Red60
772421.1
285317.6
388219.7
Blue17
25046.6
425323.8
24779.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534120306070806017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.8
17.218.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.5
blue by 2.7
23.81.5
22.521.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Second
3882
#10
19.70.5
16.617.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 10.2
2477
#33
9.52.5
9.87.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Third
17.60.5
15.916.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 11.1
2504
#23
6.62.5
7.04.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed