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Red52
244417.7
690915.7
387812.5
Blue43
551516.0
246514.2
763111.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354002060805243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.3
12.413.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End5.4
red by 1.7
5515
#19
16.00.6
15.816.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
6909
#11
15.72.1
11.513.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End5.2
red by 1.5
2465
#20
14.20.6
11.912.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Third
3878
#21
12.52.1
8.911.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 1.3
7631
#22
11.30.6
9.710.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed