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Red27
38006.8
676610.4
789817.3
Blue43
690915.7
749714.0
209011.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635253040452743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7898
#13
17.31.1
14.613.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 1.5
6909
#11
15.70.8
13.714.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End5.2
Second
6766
#28
10.41.0
9.28.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 3.7
7497
#26
14.00.8
12.213.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.6
Third
3800
#30
6.81.1
10.59.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 4.9
2090
#27
11.60.7
6.97.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned