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Red50
750514.0
427020.1
246514.2
Blue36
24779.5
244112.0
243712.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44331020405060705036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
17.017.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.8
red by 7.6
2437
#14
12.50.1
12.612.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Second
2465
#20
14.20.5
12.112.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End3.3
red by 2.2
2441
#31
12.00.2
10.510.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
7505
#25
14.00.5
13.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 4.5
2477
#33
9.50.2
7.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed