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Red54
300811.9
243818.1
244324.8
Blue27
387812.5
388219.7
38006.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5040203060705427

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.4
20.721.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.8
red by 5.0
3882
#10
19.70.7
16.716.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Second
18.10.4
16.717.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End5.3
red by 5.5
3878
#21
12.51.1
11.410.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
3008
#16
11.90.4
10.010.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.6
red by 5.2
3800
#30
6.81.0
9.48.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed