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Red64
427020.1
425323.8
387812.5
Blue29
38006.8
246514.2
24459.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543310204050607080906429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.9
21.121.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.1
red by 9.6
2465
#20
14.20.2
14.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Second
20.10.9
18.919.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.8
red by 10.5
2445
#18
9.70.2
9.79.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End3.8
Third
3878
#21
12.51.1
11.112.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 5.8
3800
#30
6.80.2
7.77.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed