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Red65
243818.1
388219.7
25046.6
Blue51
372119.4
244112.0
676610.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43372030405060706551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#10
19.71.0
17.618.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 0.3
3721
#12
19.41.3
16.818.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Second
18.11.0
17.518.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End5.3
red by 6.1
2441
#31
12.01.3
9.310.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Third
2504
#23
6.61.2
5.46.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 3.8
6766
#28
10.41.3
9.010.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed