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Red58
691922.0
408720.8
215823.3
Blue42
244111.3
83221.2
693414.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801005842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.1
19.319.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End6.0
red by 2.0
832
#57
21.20.6
23.422.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.7
Second
22.00.1
19.419.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End8.6
red by 7.1
6934
#35
14.90.6
14.914.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End5.1
Third
20.80.1
17.417.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
red by 9.5
2441
#60
11.30.6
12.211.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned