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Red60
235716.3
243821.6
363525.0
Blue48
383413.6
570020.5
760711.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624320801006048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#36
25.00.1
24.624.5
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End4.5
red by 4.5
5700
#31
20.50.5
19.219.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Second
2438
#17
21.60.1
18.017.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End4.9
red by 8.0
3834
#39
13.60.5
11.411.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Third
2357
#59
16.30.1
16.416.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 4.5
7607
#67
11.80.5
10.510.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed