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Red69
690719.8
404330.1
244111.3
Blue50
502220.3
68856.1
83221.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655420304050607080906950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#13
30.10.5
30.931.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0
red by 8.8
832
#57
21.20.3
23.022.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.7
Second
6907
#47
19.80.5
19.119.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End5.3
blue by 0.5
5022
#62
20.30.3
19.118.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
2441
#60
11.30.5
11.311.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
red by 5.2
6885
#68
6.10.3
9.49.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsMissed