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Red58
693414.9
744317.6
406322.2
Blue33
189911.5
64138.2
271017.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52350102030406070805833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#21
22.20.6
21.422.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End8.3
red by 4.3
2710
#27
17.90.0
14.514.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Second
7443
#32
17.60.6
13.914.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
red by 6.1
1899
#63
11.50.0
14.314.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Third
6934
#35
14.90.6
13.914.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End5.1
red by 6.7
6413
#64
8.20.0
4.24.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed