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Red58
366327.3
419221.3
243821.6
Blue62
147723.0
455018.0
74425.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080905862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#24
27.30.4
27.026.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.4
End5.6
red by 1.9
744
#5
25.40.0
22.222.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Second
2438
#17
21.60.4
17.917.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 1.4
23.00.0
22.322.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End8.1
Third
4192
#55
21.30.4
18.318.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End6.5
red by 3.3
4550
#42
18.00.0
17.917.8
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsEarned