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Red79
131125.7
271017.9
167123.6
Blue98
271423.7
297626.0
408720.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62653040507080901007998

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#29
25.71.4
23.124.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.5
End1.8
blue by 0.4
2976
#15
26.02.4
22.725.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End3.6
Second
1671
#18
23.61.4
20.822.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End8.8
Level
2714
#22
23.72.4
22.024.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End4.0
Third
2710
#27
17.91.4
14.515.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
blue by 2.9
20.82.4
17.119.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned