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Red70
588712.1
243821.6
683816.9
Blue44
382420.4
366327.3
361620.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4874203040607080901007044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#17
21.61.4
17.519.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 5.7
3663
#24
27.31.7
27.826.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.4
End5.6
Second
6838
#52
16.91.4
18.720.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 3.6
20.41.7
21.519.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End4.2
Third
5887
#40
12.11.4
9.110.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 8.2
3616
#20
20.41.7
20.919.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsMissed