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Red64
650612.3
712123.6
347626.1
Blue43
690719.8
235716.3
455018.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64572040801006443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#14
26.10.0
25.425.4
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 6.4
6907
#47
19.80.7
19.618.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End5.3
Second
7121
#25
23.60.0
23.823.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End5.8
red by 5.6
4550
#42
18.00.7
17.817.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.2
Third
6506
#58
12.30.0
11.611.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End2.4
blue by 4.1
2357
#59
16.30.7
16.115.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed