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Red57
670410.7
299222.6
401317.0
Blue64
394616.5
383413.6
382420.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514810203040607080905764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#43
22.60.6
23.223.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End7.4
red by 2.2
20.41.2
19.721.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End4.2
Second
4013
#53
17.00.6
15.616.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End3.6
red by 0.5
3946
#48
16.51.2
14.816.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Third
6704
#66
10.70.6
9.710.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 3.0
3834
#39
13.61.2
10.812.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned