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Red78
204634.2
147723.0
681415.3
Blue66
408720.8
501320.2
404330.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727350607080907866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#10
34.20.4
32.633.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.3
End7.2
red by 4.2
4043
#13
30.10.2
30.630.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End5.0
Second
23.00.4
22.623.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End8.1
red by 2.1
20.80.2
19.519.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
Third
6814
#34
15.30.4
13.513.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.6
blue by 4.9
5013
#56
20.20.2
18.818.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
39%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsMissed