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Red79
96727.3
583714.5
392828.3
Blue49
335217.1
730912.1
663017.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43391020305060707949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.33.6
17.821.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.9
red by 10.5
6630
#18
17.81.3
14.315.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End6.2
Second
967
#7
27.33.6
12.516.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End5.5
red by 10.1
3352
#30
17.11.3
11.512.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
5837
#33
14.53.6
10.013.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End3.2
red by 2.4
7309
#23
12.11.3
11.412.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed