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Red38
590613.4
42609.9
645517.5
Blue35
363320.7
631716.8
753114.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3640102030506070803835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6455
#41
17.50.1
12.412.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End4.3
blue by 3.2
3633
#42
20.70.4
14.213.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Second
5906
#40
13.40.1
11.211.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.5
blue by 3.4
6317
#26
16.80.4
15.014.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
4260
#38
9.90.1
10.610.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End3.6
blue by 5.0
7531
#22
14.90.4
9.28.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed