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Red20
642015.8
46910.9
63795.8
Blue58
741118.2
295718.2
52531.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3555204060802058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#34
15.81.5
11.49.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
blue by 15.4
525
#2
31.20.0
30.330.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.0
End10.0
Second
469
#45
10.90.9
12.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 7.2
2957
#16
18.20.0
12.012.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
Third
6379
#48
5.81.5
9.17.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 12.3
7411
#29
18.20.0
10.010.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsMissed