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Red51
642420.2
64812.3
673210.4
Blue69
162219.7
162519.9
402116.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4251203060705169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#12
20.20.7
18.719.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End7.1
red by 0.3
1625
#24
19.90.2
17.116.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Second
648
#46
12.31.2
11.412.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 7.4
1622
#13
19.70.1
16.816.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End5.1
Third
6732
#37
10.41.2
10.011.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.7
blue by 6.1
4021
#15
16.60.2
14.714.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed