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Red50
162219.7
663017.8
295718.2
Blue42
645517.5
61649.6
688912.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453802060805042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#13
19.70.1
16.716.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End5.1
red by 2.3
6455
#41
17.50.6
11.812.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Second
2957
#16
18.20.1
11.912.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
red by 5.4
6889
#35
12.70.6
12.813.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
6630
#18
17.80.1
14.114.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End6.2
red by 8.1
6164
#32
9.60.6
11.812.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed