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Red36
363320.7
730912.1
253815.9
Blue48
253016.1
754120.1
198516.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393602060803648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#42
20.70.1
14.314.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End2.9
red by 0.6
7541
#10
20.18.5
20.111.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End8.2
Second
2538
#39
15.90.1
11.311.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 0.2
2530
#20
16.11.5
13.014.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End4.5
Third
7309
#23
12.10.1
11.511.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End3.0
blue by 4.0
1985
#31
16.11.1
11.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned