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Red56
253815.9
764613.1
741118.2
Blue69
363320.7
639122.4
96727.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45612030405070805669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7411
#29
18.21.5
16.518.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 9.1
967
#7
27.30.9
19.420.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
2538
#39
15.91.5
12.513.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 6.5
6391
#11
22.40.5
19.920.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Third
7646
#19
13.11.5
13.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.6
blue by 7.6
3633
#42
20.70.9
18.719.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed