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Red62
295718.2
90417.3
335217.1
Blue43
162219.7
591416.0
557615.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551304060706243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2957
#16
18.21.8
13.415.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
blue by 1.6
1622
#13
19.70.6
17.917.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End5.1
Second
904
#25
17.31.8
13.014.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
red by 1.3
5914
#17
16.00.9
16.315.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
3352
#30
17.11.8
16.618.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 1.8
5576
#44
15.30.9
14.213.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed