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Red43
631716.8
253016.1
621716.5
Blue60
52531.2
320619.4
501320.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4671203040506080901004360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#26
16.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 14.4
525
#2
31.20.7
31.731.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.0
End10.0
Second
6217
#21
16.50.0
13.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End6.3
blue by 3.9
20.40.7
16.816.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End7.1
Third
2530
#20
16.10.0
12.012.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End4.5
blue by 3.3
19.41.1
18.617.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed91%HAB Docking oddsEarned